AMD
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XBRL · SEC EDGAR2008–2025(18yr)| Metric | FY 2008 | FY 2009 | FY 2010 | FY 2011 | FY 2012 | FY 2013 | FY 2014 | FY 2015 | FY 2016 | FY 2017 | FY 2018 | FY 2019 | FY 2020 | FY 2021 | FY 2022 | FY 2023 | FY 2024 | FY 2025Latest | YoY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $5.8B | $5.4B | $6.5B | $6.6B | $5.4B | $5.3B | $5.5B | $4.0B | $4.3B | $5.3B | $6.5B | $6.7B | $9.8B | $16.4B | $23.6B | $22.7B | $25.8B | $34.6B | +34.3% |
| Gross Profit | $2.3B | $2.3B | $3.0B | $2.9B | $1.2B | $2.0B | $1.8B | $1.1B | $998.0M | $1.8B | $2.4B | $2.9B | $4.3B | $7.9B | $10.6B | $10.5B | $12.7B | $17.2B | +34.8% |
| Gross Margin | 39.9% | 42.1% | 45.6% | 44.8% | 22.8% | 37.3% | 33.4% | 27.1% | 23.1% | 34.7% | 37.8% | 42.6% | 44.5% | 48.2% | 44.9% | 46.1% | 49.4% | 49.5% | +0.2pp |
| Operating Income | -$2.0B | $664.0M | $848.0M | $368.0M | -$1.1B | $103.0M | -$155.0M | -$481.0M | -$372.0M | $204.0M | $451.0M | $631.0M | $1.4B | $3.6B | $1.3B | $401.0M | $1.9B | $3.7B | +94.4% |
| Operating Margin | -33.7% | 12.3% | 13.1% | 5.6% | -19.5% | 1.9% | -2.8% | -12.1% | -8.6% | 3.9% | 7.0% | 9.4% | 14.0% | 22.2% | 5.4% | 1.8% | 7.4% | 10.7% | +3.3pp |
| Net Income | -$3.1B | $293.0M | $471.0M | $491.0M | -$1.2B | -$83.0M | -$403.0M | -$660.0M | -$497.0M | $43.0M | $337.0M | $341.0M | $2.5B | $3.2B | $1.3B | $854.0M | $1.6B | $4.3B | +164.2% |
| Net Margin | -53.3% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 7.5% | -21.8% | -1.6% | -7.3% | -16.5% | -11.5% | 0.8% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 25.5% | 19.2% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 6.4% | 12.5% | +6.2pp |
| Free Cash Flow | -$1.3B | $7.0M | -$560.0M | $132.0M | -$471.0M | -$232.0M | -$193.0M | -$322.0M | $13.0M | -$45.0M | -$129.0M | $276.0M | $777.0M | $3.2B | $3.1B | $1.1B | $2.4B | $6.7B | +180.0% |
| FCF Margin | -22.7% | 0.1% | -8.6% | 2.0% | -8.7% | -4.4% | -3.5% | -8.1% | 0.3% | -0.9% | -2.0% | 4.1% | 8.0% | 19.6% | 13.2% | 4.9% | 9.3% | 19.4% | +10.1pp |
| EPS (Diluted) | $-5.15 | $0.45 | $0.64 | $0.66 | $-1.60 | $-0.11 | $-0.53 | $-0.84 | $-0.60 | $0.04 | $0.32 | $0.30 | $2.06 | $2.57 | $0.84 | $0.53 | $1.00 | $2.65 | +165.0% |
1. THE BIG PICTURE
Advanced Micro Devices has transitioned from a PC-centric chipmaker to a diversified AI powerhouse, but it remains a distant second in profitability compared to its primary rivals. While it is hitting record revenue and scaling its "Instinct" GPU and EPYC CPU lines, its structural reliance on a single third-party foundry and a handful of massive customers creates a precarious foundation for its rapid growth.
2. WHERE THE RISKS HIT HARDEST
The "full-stack AI" ambition is directly threatened by manufacturing concentration. Advanced Micro Devices identifies its "custom-ready chiplet platform" as a core strength (10-K Item 1), yet this innovation is entirely dependent on TSMC for 7nm and smaller nodes (Risks). Any capacity failure at TSMC would immediately invalidate the ability to deliver MI350 and EPYC 5th Gen processors. Furthermore, the push for "end-to-end AI leadership" is hampered by export controls; U.S. restrictions on AI semiconductors to China have already necessitated $800 million in inventory charges, directly undermining the profitability gained from record sales (Risks).
3. WHAT THE NUMBERS SAY TOGETHER
The financial data reveals a company growing rapidly but struggling with efficiency. While revenue jumped 34.3% TTMTTMTrailing Twelve Months — the most recent full year of financial data, updated on a rolling basis each quarter, Advanced Micro Devices’ operating margin of 8.5% is the lowest among its peer group, trailing Nvidia’s 59.0% and Broadcom’s 36.9% (XBRL). This suggests that while Advanced Micro Devices is winning deals, it is doing so at a much higher cost or lower price point than its competitors. The Q1 2026 guidance of $9.8 billion—a 32% year-over-year increase—shows that the growth engine remains hot, even as it faces a seasonal 5% sequential decline (8-K). With short interest at a low 1.9% of the float, market sentiment appears broadly supportive of this growth trajectory despite the thin margins.
4. IS IT WORTH IT AT THIS PRICE?
At 18.7x forward earnings, Advanced Micro Devices trades in line with the peer median of 19.7x, suggesting it is at fair value relative to the sector (XBRL). At this multiple, the market is pricing in approximately 10.3% long-term growth (CAPM analysis). Given that revenue grew 34.3% TTMTTMTrailing Twelve Months — the most recent full year of financial data, updated on a rolling basis each quarter and the Data Center segment is expanding at 39%, Advanced Micro Devices is currently significantly outperforming the market's implied growth rate.
However, the sensitivity is sharp: if growth were to slow to 8.5%, the justified multiple would drop to 14.0x, representing a 25% downside (CAPM analysis). The justification for the current price rests on the ability to close the margin gap; its 11.5% net margin is a fraction of Nvidia’s 52.7%, leaving little room for error if competition from Intel or Nvidia forces aggressive pricing.
5. WHAT WOULD CHANGE THIS VIEW?
- Cautious if gross margins fail to trend toward the 60%+ levels seen at Nvidia and Broadcom, indicating Advanced Micro Devices lacks the pricing power to match its technical "full-stack" claims.
- Constructive if the "Helios" AI rack-scale platform or Ryzen AI NPU integration leads to a significant reduction in customer concentration, which currently sees a "small number of customers" accounting for a substantial portion of revenue (10-K Item 1).
6. BOTTOM LINE
Structural Advantage: Integration of dedicated neural processing units (NPUs) into x86 CPUs and a "custom-ready" chiplet architecture that allows for rapid AI hardware tailoring.
Bottom Line: Advanced Micro Devices is a high-growth challenger effectively scaling its AI business, but its bottom-line efficiency remains too low to justify a premium valuation over its more profitable peers.
1. Top 5 Material Risks
- Competitive Intensity: Advanced Micro Devices faces aggressive pricing and marketing from Intel and Nvidia, which leverage their larger market positions and proprietary software ecosystems to limit Advanced Micro Devices’ market share and decrease margins.
- Manufacturing Concentration: Advanced Micro Devices relies on a small number of third-party foundries, specifically TSMC for 7nm and smaller nodes, and GLOBALFOUNDRIES for larger nodes; any failure by these partners to meet capacity or yield requirements directly impacts the ability to fulfill customer demand.
- Export Controls: U.S. government regulations, including those targeting AI-related semiconductors, restrict sales to China and other D5 countries, creating uncertainty in revenue and requiring costly compliance and licensing efforts.
- Customer Concentration: A small number of customers account for a substantial portion of revenue; the loss or reduced demand from any of these key accounts would materially adversely affect financial results.
- Supply Chain and Inventory Volatility: Advanced Micro Devices’s reliance on individual purchase orders and the lack of long-term commitments from many suppliers increase the risk of excess or obsolete inventory, particularly given the short product lifecycles in the semiconductor industry.
2. Company-Specific Risks
- Semi-Custom SoC Dependency: Revenue from semi-custom System-on-Chip products is tied to the market success of third-party products, such as game consoles from Sony and Microsoft, over which Advanced Micro Devices has no control.
- Joint Venture Exposure: Advanced Micro Devices’s reliance on ATMP joint ventures with affiliates of Tongfu Microelectronics Co., Ltd. for the majority of its assembly, test, mark, and pack services creates a specific operational bottleneck.
- Environmental Remediation: Advanced Micro Devices is a named responsible party at three Superfund sites in Sunnyvale, California, and remains liable for remediation costs if other parties fail to fulfill their settlement obligations.
- AI Infrastructure Delays: Advanced Micro Devices’s growth strategy in the Data Center segment is vulnerable to construction delays in customer data center buildouts and potential customer inability to secure sufficient energy or capital for AI infrastructure.
3. Regulatory/Legal Risks
- Export Licensing: Advanced Micro Devices is subject to EAR and ITAR regulations; failure to obtain licenses for products like the AMD Instinct™ MI308 or compliance failures can result in penalties, loss of export privileges, and inventory write-downs.
- Tax Liabilities: Advanced Micro Devices faces potential tax liabilities from global tax audits and the implementation of OECD "Pillar One" and "Pillar Two" global minimum tax frameworks, which could impact the effective tax rate.
- Intellectual Property Litigation: Advanced Micro Devices is subject to ongoing and potential future litigation regarding patent infringement, which could result in material royalty payments, damages, or injunctions prohibiting the sale of specific products.
- AI Regulation: The EU AI Act and other emerging global regulatory frameworks for AI may impede Advanced Micro Devices’s ability to offer certain products or increase compliance costs and potential liability.
4. Financial Impact Map
Competitive Pricing/Bundling → Gross Margin → Aggressive pricing actions by competitors like Intel and Nvidia can decrease margins and profitability. Export Restrictions → Inventory → Restrictions on MI308 products led to approximately $800 million in inventory and related charges in the second quarter of 2025. Wafer Supply Agreements → Gross Margin → Failure to meet annual wafer purchase targets with GLOBALFOUNDRIES can lead to excess inventory or higher unit costs, adversely impacting gross margin. Deferred Tax Assets → Results of Operations → If Advanced Micro Devices determines that deferred tax assets are not realizable, it could result in a material expense in the period of determination. Product Defects → Operating Expenses → Costs related to defective products, including recall, replacement, and litigation, could divert engineering resources and adversely affect financial results.
Recent Filings
| Form | Filed | Period |
|---|---|---|
| 10-K | Feb 2026 | Dec 2025 |
| 8-K | Feb 2026 | — |
| 10-Q | Nov 2025 | Sep 2025 |
| 14A | Mar 2025 | — |
AI-extracted key facts from press releases and SEC filings. Significance 1–10.
AMD Q1 Earnings Preview: High AI Expectations Following 74% April Stock Surge
- ▸AMD shares rallied 74% in April ahead of Q1 earnings report
- ▸Market expectations elevated for AI-driven data center revenue growth
- ▸Stock trading at premium valuation with limited margin for error
- ▸Investors focused on MI300 AI accelerator sales guidance
- ▸High volatility expected following earnings release
AMD Q1 earnings beat expectations as data center AI growth accelerates
- ▸Data center segment showing strong growth momentum
- ▸MI GPU line positioned as competitive alternative to Nvidia
- ▸Management targeting 60% long-term growth in AI business
- ▸Margins expected to improve through supply chain optimization
- ▸Market demand remains high for all available AI chip supply
Risk Assets and Momentum ETFs Rally 1.6% Ahead of AMD Earnings
- ▸Momentum and growth ETFs gained over 1.6% on Tuesday
- ▸Small-cap and risk-on strategies outperformed broader market indices
- ▸Market sentiment shifts toward risk assets ahead of AMD earnings report
- ▸Broad rally observed across growth-oriented exchange-traded funds
AMD Q1 Revenue $10.3B, Non-GAAP EPS $1.37 Driven by AI Data Center Demand
- ▸Q1 revenue $10.3B, non-GAAP EPS $1.37
- ▸Data Center segment revenue $5.8B, up 57% YoY
- ▸Client segment revenue $2.9B, up 26% YoY
- ▸Meta to deploy 6 gigawatts of AMD Instinct GPUs
- ▸Non-GAAP gross margin 55%, operating income $2.5B
AMD Q2 revenue forecast $11.2B beats estimates of $10.52B on AI demand
- ▸Q2 revenue forecast $11.2B, exceeding $10.52B consensus estimate
- ▸Data-center chip demand driven by AI infrastructure deployment
- ▸Meta Platforms deal involves up to $60B in AI chip sales over five years
- ▸AMD shares up 60% year-to-date
- ▸Supply chain constraints persist due to tight capacity at TSMC
AI Infrastructure Costs Projected to Reach $1 Trillion Amid Scaling Challenges
- ▸Enterprises underestimating AI deployment and operational costs by 30% or more
- ▸Total annual AI expenditure projected to approach $1 trillion
- ▸Astera Labs shares rose 10.2% to $117.14
- ▸NVIDIA partnered with Marvell for NVLink Fusion infrastructure integration
- ▸Micron Technology completed senior notes debt financing
Wells Fargo adds AMD to Q2 Tactical Ideas List, sets $345 price target
- ▸Wells Fargo initiates Overweight rating with $345 price target
- ▸Q1 2026 revenue guidance $9.8B, +32% YoY
- ▸Data center segment revenue growth target >60% annually over 3-5 years
- ▸Q1 2026 guidance includes $100M in China-specific MI308 GPU sales
- ▸Q1 earnings report scheduled for April 30, 2026
AMD in talks to supply 10,000 MI355 AI accelerators to South Korean startup Upstage
- ▸Upstage negotiating purchase of 10,000 MI355 AI accelerators from AMD
- ▸Procurement aims to diversify compute capacity away from Nvidia chips
- ▸AMD Q1 revenue guidance projected at $9.8B, plus or minus $300M
- ▸Q1 revenue forecast includes $100M in China-related AI chip sales
- ▸Upstage developing large language model with over 200 billion parameters
AMD Q1 revenue expected to decline 5% sequentially; semi-custom SoC sales to drop double-digits
- ▸Q4 Gaming revenue $843M, +50% YoY but -35% sequentially
- ▸Q1 2026 total revenue expected to decline 5% sequentially
- ▸Semi-custom SoC annual revenue projected to decline double-digits in 2026
- ▸Q1 2026 total revenue expected to grow 32% YoY
- ▸Launched Ryzen 7 9850X3D processor and FSR Redstone AI-powered upscaling
AMD Helios AI rack and MI450 chip launch expected in second half of 2026
- ▸Helios AI rack launch scheduled for second half of 2026
- ▸MI450 chip revenue expected to begin in Q3 2026
- ▸2025 revenue growth reached 34% YoY
- ▸Current market capitalization approximately $320 billion
- ▸Forward price-to-earnings multiple currently at 30x