DOV
IndustrialsDover Corporation
Price Chart
Market Data
Financials
XBRL · SEC EDGAR2007–2025(19yr)| Metric | FY 2007 | FY 2008 | FY 2009 | FY 2010 | FY 2011 | FY 2012 | FY 2013 | FY 2014 | FY 2015 | FY 2016 | FY 2017 | FY 2018 | FY 2019 | FY 2020 | FY 2021 | FY 2022 | FY 2023 | FY 2024 | FY 2025Latest | YoY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $7.3B | $7.6B | $5.8B | $7.1B | $8.0B | $8.1B | $8.7B | $7.8B | $7.0B | $6.0B | $6.8B | $7.0B | $7.1B | $6.7B | $7.9B | $8.5B | $8.4B | $7.7B | $8.1B | +4.5% |
| Gross Profit | $2.6B | $2.7B | $2.1B | $2.7B | $3.1B | $3.1B | $3.3B | $3.0B | $2.6B | $2.5B | $2.9B | $2.6B | $2.6B | $2.5B | $3.0B | $3.1B | $3.1B | $3.0B | $3.2B | +8.8% |
| Gross Margin | 35.8% | 36.1% | 36.3% | 38.3% | 38.4% | 38.3% | 38.3% | 38.4% | 36.9% | 40.9% | 42.4% | 36.6% | 36.7% | 37.0% | 37.6% | 36.0% | 36.6% | 38.2% | 39.8% | +1.6pp |
| Operating Income | $1.0B | $1.0B | $588.0M | $1.0B | $1.2B | $1.3B | $1.4B | $1.2B | $920.8M | $714.4M | $914.4M | $843.1M | $974.9M | $933.0M | $1.3B | $1.4B | $1.4B | $1.2B | $1.4B | +13.8% |
| Operating Margin | 13.7% | 13.6% | 10.2% | 14.5% | 15.2% | 15.6% | 15.5% | 15.7% | 13.2% | 11.8% | 13.4% | 12.1% | 13.7% | 14.0% | 16.2% | 16.2% | 16.2% | 15.6% | 17.0% | +1.4pp |
| Net Income | $661.1M | $590.8M | $356.4M | $700.1M | $895.2M | $811.1M | $1.0B | $775.2M | $869.8M | $508.9M | $811.7M | $570.3M | $677.9M | $683.5M | $1.1B | $1.1B | $1.1B | $2.7B | $1.1B | -59.4% |
| Net Margin | 9.0% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 9.8% | 11.3% | 10.0% | 11.5% | 10.0% | 12.5% | 8.4% | 11.9% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 10.2% | 14.2% | 12.5% | 12.5% | 34.8% | 13.5% | -21.3pp |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | $758.5M | $939.1M | $944.4M | $584.8M | $1.1B | — | — | — |
| FCF Margin | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 10.6% | 14.1% | 11.9% | 6.9% | 13.6% | — | — | — |
| EPS (Diluted) | $3.26 | $3.12 | $1.91 | $3.70 | $4.74 | $4.41 | $5.78 | $4.59 | $5.46 | $3.25 | $5.15 | $3.75 | $4.61 | $4.70 | $7.74 | $7.42 | $7.52 | $19.45 | $7.94 | -59.2% |
1. THE BIG PICTURE
Dover is attempting to master a difficult balancing act: maintaining the "entrepreneurial dynamism" of a collection of niche manufacturing businesses while using its massive corporate scale to fund a high-tech digital overhaul. By generating 40% of its revenue from recurring sources like software and consumables, Dover Corporation has built a protective cushion that allows it to aggressively pursue "secular-growth" markets like clean energy and climate technologies.
2. WHERE THE RISKS HIT HARDEST
Dover’s push into "Dover Digital Labs" and AI-powered tools like artAI is threatened by escalating cybersecurity risks, where a single breach could cause production downtime and compromise the very remote diagnostic services Dover uses as a competitive differentiator (10-K Item 1A). Furthermore, the "centralized scale" that management cites as a primary strength is directly challenged by geopolitical instability; with 46% of revenue generated outside the United States, trade restrictions or transportation delays can instantly disrupt the global sourcing synergies Dover Corporation relies on for its margins (10-K Item 1A).
3. WHAT THE NUMBERS SAY TOGETHER
While Dover’s most recent quarterly revenue growth of 9% significantly outpaced its trailing twelve-month average of 4.5%, Dover Corporation remains the least efficient cash generator among its peers. Its free cash flow margin of 10.8% is the lowest in the group, trailing AMETEK (22.6%) and Veralto (17.3%) by a wide margin (XBRL). This suggests that while Dover is successfully capturing "broad-based top line strength," it has not yet translated that growth into the elite level of cash conversion seen at its rivals. Short interest stands at 3.0% of the float, indicating that a small but notable segment of the market remains skeptical of Dover's ability to close this efficiency gap (Yahoo Finance).
4. IS IT WORTH IT AT THIS PRICE?
At 18.4x forward earnings, Dover trades at a modest discount to the peer median of 22.4x (XBRL). This lower multiple is likely a reflection of Dover's trailing free cash flow margins and higher net debt ($2.7 billion) compared to leaner peers like AMETEK. The market is currently pricing in approximately 5.9% long-term growth (CAPM analysis). This expectation is well-supported by management’s 2026 guidance of 5% to 7% revenue growth and the recent "robust trends" in secular-growth markets (8-K). However, the valuation is sensitive: if long-term growth were to slow to a 5.0% pace, the justified multiple would fall to 15.7x, suggesting the current price relies heavily on Dover maintaining its recent organic growth momentum.
5. WHAT WOULD CHANGE THIS VIEW?
- Constructive if free cash flow margins move toward the 15% peer average, proving that "productivity initiatives" and "volume leverage" are successfully insulating the bottom line from rising labor costs.
- Cautious if organic growth falls below the 3% to 5% guidance range, which would indicate that the "secular-growth" markets Dover is targeting are more vulnerable to cyclical economic downturns than management suggests.
6. BOTTOM LINE
Structural Advantage: High customer switching costs driven by "value-in-use" components that are critical to system performance but represent a small fraction of total system cost.
Bottom Line: Dover is a high-quality industrial compounder that is currently fairly priced, but it must improve its cash conversion to earn the premium valuation commanded by its peers.
1. Top 5 Material Risks
- Economic Volatility: Recessions and adverse market conditions threaten Dover Corporation’s sales, operating results, and cash flows. These conditions may trigger impairment charges for goodwill or other long-lived assets and necessitate complex, costly restructuring actions that may fail to deliver anticipated efficiencies (10-K Item 1A).
- International Operations: Approximately 46% of revenues in 2025 and 2024 were generated outside the United States. This global footprint exposes Dover Corporation to political instability, trade restrictions, tariffs, and transportation delays, all of which can impede growth and damage financial position (10-K Item 1A).
- Cybersecurity: Dover Corporation relies on internal and third-party information systems for manufacturing and customer data. Cyberattacks, including ransomware or unauthorized access, threaten to cause production downtimes, theft of intellectual property, and significant financial losses from fraudulent transactions or regulatory fines (10-K Item 1A).
- Labor Costs and Availability: Intense competition for skilled personnel and the presence of collective bargaining units create risks of work stoppages and rising wage costs. Sustained labor shortages or turnover could force increased overtime spending and negatively impact manufacturing efficiency (10-K Item 1A).
- Supply Chain Disruptions: Dover Corporation depends on raw materials and components from numerous suppliers, some of which are single-source. Disruptions—whether from natural disasters, pandemics, or supplier financial distress—can interrupt product supply and prevent Dover Corporation from meeting customer commitments (10-K Item 1A).
2. Company-Specific Risks
- Acquisition Integration: Dover Corporation’s growth strategy relies on acquiring add-on businesses. There is a risk that these acquisitions may underperform, fail to achieve anticipated synergies, or expose Dover Corporation to unexpected liabilities that were not fully mitigated by indemnification agreements (10-K Item 1A).
- Product Recalls: Allegations of product defects or violations of governmental regulations could lead to product recalls, resulting in substantial unexpected expenditures, brand damage, and decreased demand for products (10-K Item 1A).
- Intellectual Property Protection: The competitive position of Dover Corporation depends on its ability to protect patents and trademarks. Challenges to or circumvention of these rights, particularly in countries with weak intellectual property protections, could negatively impact operating profits (10-K Item 1A).
- ESG Expectations: Increasing stakeholder focus on corporate sustainability and mandatory reporting requirements may force Dover Corporation to expend substantial resources and could result in reduced demand for products that do not align with evolving environmental or social standards (10-K Item 1A).
3. Regulatory/Legal Risks
- Compliance and Investigations: Dover Corporation is subject to complex laws governing bribery, fraud, anti-kickback, export/import controls, and data privacy. Improper conduct by employees or agents could lead to civil or criminal investigations, substantial monetary penalties, and increased compliance costs (10-K Item 1A).
- Tax Audits: The effective tax rate is sensitive to the mix of earnings across different countries and changes in statutory tax rates. Unfavorable outcomes from ongoing governmental tax audits could result in assessments that negatively impact consolidated results of operations and cash flows (10-K Item 1A).
- Litigation: Dover Corporation faces legal proceedings incidental to its business, including product liability claims, patent infringement, and employment disputes. These matters require significant defense expenses and may result in damages that affect financial condition (10-K Item 1A).
4. Financial Impact Map
Economic Downturns → Goodwill and Long-Lived Assets → Potential impairment charges if market conditions deteriorate.
International Operations → Consolidated Results of Operations → 46% of revenue is subject to currency translation effects and geopolitical disruption.
Cybersecurity Attacks → Operating Profit → Costs associated with production downtime, remediation, and potential regulatory fines.
Labor Shortages/Disputes → Cost of Goods Sold → Increased overtime expenses and higher wage rates to attract and retain personnel.
Raw Material Price Increases → Operating Profit → Margin compression if price increases cannot be passed to customers due to competitive pressure or timing delays.
Recent Filings
| Form | Filed | Period |
|---|---|---|
| 10-K | Feb 2026 | Dec 2025 |
| 8-K | Jan 2026 | — |
| 10-Q | Oct 2025 | Sep 2025 |
AI-extracted key facts from press releases and SEC filings. Significance 1–10.
Dover Issues 2026 EPS Guidance $8.95–$9.15, Reports $500M Share Repurchase Tranche
- ▸2026 GAAP EPS guidance $8.95–$9.15
- ▸Projected FY revenue growth 5%–7%, organic growth 3%–5%
- ▸Repurchased 2.33M shares (1.7% of float) for $500M in Q4 2025
- ▸Total buyback program reached 5.4M shares for $1.04B since Oct 2023
- ▸Multiple analysts raised price targets citing organic growth and margin expansion
Dover upgraded to Overweight at Wells Fargo, price target raised to $230
- ▸Wells Fargo upgraded DOV to Overweight from Equal Weight
- ▸Price target increased to $230 from $210
- ▸Q4 2025 bookings +10% quarterly, +6% full year
- ▸Q4 2025 free cash flow $487M, 23% of revenue
- ▸FY 2025 adjusted EPS +16% year-over-year
Dover 2026 Adjusted EPS Guidance $10.45–$10.65; Wells Fargo Upgrades to Overweight
- ▸2026 adjusted EPS guidance $10.45–$10.65
- ▸2026 revenue growth projected at 5%–7%
- ▸Q4 2025 organic growth reached 5.0%
- ▸$500 million accelerated share repurchase program initiated
- ▸Wells Fargo upgraded stock to Overweight citing margin expansion and organic growth
Dover Q4 Revenue $2.10B +8.8% YoY, Beats Estimates by 0.9%
- ▸Dover Q4 revenue $2.10B, up 8.8% YoY
- ▸Dover revenue beat analyst expectations by 0.9%
- ▸Dover missed analysts' adjusted operating income estimates
- ▸Columbus McKinnon Q4 revenue $258.7M, up 10.5% YoY
- ▸Columbus McKinnon revenue beat analyst expectations by 5.3%