ES
UtilitiesEversource Energy
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XBRL · SEC EDGAR2009–2025(17yr)| Metric | FY 2009 | FY 2010 | FY 2011 | FY 2012 | FY 2013 | FY 2014 | FY 2015 | FY 2016 | FY 2017 | FY 2018 | FY 2019 | FY 2020 | FY 2021 | FY 2022 | FY 2023 | FY 2024 | FY 2025Latest | YoY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $5.4B | $4.9B | $4.5B | $6.3B | $7.3B | $7.7B | $8.0B | $7.6B | $7.8B | $8.4B | $8.5B | $8.9B | $9.9B | $12.3B | $11.9B | $11.9B | $13.5B | +13.8% |
| Operating Income | $751.4M | $799.9M | $794.2M | $1.1B | $1.5B | $1.6B | $1.8B | $1.9B | $1.9B | $1.7B | $1.6B | $2.0B | $2.0B | $2.2B | $2.4B | $2.4B | $3.0B | +24.1% |
| Operating Margin | 13.8% | 16.3% | 17.8% | 17.8% | 20.9% | 21.1% | 22.2% | 24.3% | 24.7% | 20.1% | 18.7% | 22.3% | 20.2% | 17.9% | 20.1% | 20.2% | 22.1% | +1.8pp |
| Net Income | $335.6M | $394.1M | $400.5M | $533.1M | $793.7M | $827.1M | $886.0M | $949.8M | $995.5M | $1.0B | $916.6M | $1.2B | $1.2B | $1.4B | -$434.7M | $819.2M | $1.7B | +107.5% |
| Net Margin | 6.2% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 10.9% | 10.7% | 11.1% | 12.4% | 12.8% | 12.3% | 10.7% | 13.6% | 12.5% | 11.5% | -3.6% | 6.9% | 12.5% | +5.7pp |
| Free Cash Flow | $81.0M | $139.0M | -$106.3M | -$311.0M | $206.8M | $31.7M | -$300.1M | $198.2M | -$343.2M | -$739.4M | -$901.9M | -$1.3B | -$1.2B | -$1.0B | -$2.7B | -$2.3B | -$45.1M | +98.1% |
| FCF Margin | 1.5% | 2.8% | -2.4% | -5.0% | 2.8% | 0.4% | -3.8% | 2.6% | -4.4% | -8.8% | -10.6% | -14.2% | -12.3% | -8.5% | -22.6% | -19.5% | -0.3% | +19.2pp |
| EPS (Diluted) | $1.91 | $2.19 | $2.22 | $1.89 | $2.49 | $2.58 | $2.76 | $2.96 | $3.11 | $3.25 | $2.81 | $3.55 | $3.54 | $4.05 | $-1.26 | $2.27 | $4.56 | +100.9% |
1. THE BIG PICTURE
Eversource is executing a strategic pivot, offloading its offshore wind interests to refocus on its core identity as a regulated utility. While it markets itself as a primary catalyst for New England’s green transition, its success depends entirely on navigating the friction between massive infrastructure spending and the state regulators who decide if customers should foot the bill.
2. WHERE THE RISKS HIT HARDEST
Eversource’s "technological differentiation" through its Smartinspect platform and drone-based monitoring is directly threatened by cybersecurity risks; these operational technology systems are vulnerable to disruptions that could trigger significant repair costs and regulatory fines (Risks, Competitive Position). Furthermore, the "clean energy transition" strategy is specifically undermined by offshore wind contingent liabilities. Despite selling its interests in the South Fork and Revolution Wind projects, Eversource remains financially exposed to capital expenditure overruns and internal rate of return guarantees for the buyer (Risks, Competitive Position).
3. WHAT THE NUMBERS SAY TOGETHER
The financial profile reveals a company growing faster than its peers but struggling to convert that growth into bottom-line efficiency. While revenue grew 13.8% (TTMTTMTrailing Twelve Months — the most recent full year of financial data, updated on a rolling basis each quarter), placing it third among six peers, its net margin of 8.8% is the lowest in the group (Peer Benchmarking). This disconnect is partly explained by the transition toward a regulated model and recent settlements, such as the Massachusetts agreement approved in late 2025 (8-K). Furthermore, while Eversource leads its peer group in Free Cash Flow (FCFFCFFree Cash Flow — cash left after paying for operations and capital investments; what the company can actually spend, save, or return to shareholders) margin at -3.7%, the figure remains negative, reflecting the heavy capital demands of its Electric Sector Modernization and Gas System Enhancement programs (Peer Benchmarking, Business). Short interest is relatively low at 2.2% of the float, suggesting limited bearish conviction despite the negative FCFFCFFree Cash Flow — cash left after paying for operations and capital investments; what the company can actually spend, save, or return to shareholders (Supplemental Signals).
4. IS IT WORTH IT AT THIS PRICE?
At 14.2x Forward P/EP/EPrice-to-Earnings ratio — share price divided by annual earnings per share; how much investors pay per dollar of profit. Higher P/E = higher growth expectations, Eversource trades at a modest discount to the peer median of 17.9x. At this multiple, the market is pricing in ~1.6% long-term growth (Computed Valuation Context). This appears conservative relative to management’s projected long-term EPSEPSEarnings Per Share — the company's net profit divided by its share count; the most common per-share profitability metric growth of 5% to 7% through 2030 (8-K). The discount is likely a reflection of "structural vulnerability" to state-level commissions like PURA and DPU, which can impose rate freezes or performance penalties (Competitive Position). However, with a sector-leading dividend yield of 4.3%, the stock offers a premium income stream that compensates for these regulatory hurdles (Peer Benchmarking). If growth were to align with the GDP pace of 2.5%, the justified multiple would rise to 16.3x (Computed Valuation Context).
5. WHAT WOULD CHANGE THIS VIEW?
- Cautious if state regulators disallow cost recoveries for major infrastructure projects or impose service quality penalties that erode the 5% to 7% growth target (Competitive Position).
- Cautious if Eversource Energy triggers financial obligations related to offshore wind expenditure overruns or fails to monetize investment tax credits (Risks).
- Constructive if 2026 earnings hit the upper end of the $4.80 to $4.95 range, validating the "pure-play" transition (8-K).
6. BOTTOM LINE
Structural Advantage: Regulated monopoly status in New England territories combined with proprietary AI-driven grid inspection technology.
Bottom Line: Eversource is an attractively valued utility for income-seekers, provided they can stomach the regulatory volatility inherent in its aggressive grid modernization plans.
1. Top 5 Material Risks
- Cybersecurity and System Integrity: Cyberattacks targeting utility infrastructure or third-party systems could impair the ability of Eversource Energy to operate its electric, natural gas, and water systems. Such events threaten the accuracy of financial reporting and may result in litigation, fines, and heightened regulatory scrutiny.
- Rate Regulation and Cost Recovery: Eversource Energy is subject to federal and state regulation that dictates service rates. Adverse regulatory outcomes, such as the disallowance of costs or reductions in allowed rates of return, directly threaten the financial position and cash flows of Eversource Energy.
- Offshore Wind Contingent Liabilities: Following the sale of its 50 percent interest in the South Fork Wind and Revolution Wind projects, Eversource Energy retains financial obligations, including capital expenditure overrun sharing and the maintenance of internal rates of return for the buyer. Failure to meet these obligations or the inability to monetize investment tax credits (ITCs) could result in material losses.
- Climate Change and Severe Weather: Physical risks from climate change, including extreme storms, threaten the physical assets of Eversource Energy. Eversource Energy faces the risk that regulators may deem storm restoration costs imprudent, preventing their recovery from customers.
- Environmental Compliance: Extensive federal and state regulations governing water quality, hazardous materials, and greenhouse gas emissions require significant expenditures. Failure to recover these compliance costs promptly could adversely affect the results of operations.
2. Company-Specific Risks
- Water Supply and Dam Infrastructure: Eversource Energy faces strategic risks regarding water scarcity and the potential failure of dams. New regulations in Connecticut requiring increased downstream releases may deplete storage volumes, while dam failure could lead to unrecoverable liabilities.
- Holding Company Liquidity: As a holding company with no revenue-generating operations, Eversource Energy depends entirely on dividends from its subsidiaries to meet its own debt service and dividend obligations.
- Pension and Postretirement Obligations: Eversource Energy maintains defined benefit plans for a substantial number of employees. Underperformance of plan investments or changes in actuarial assumptions could necessitate significant additional funding contributions.
- Goodwill Impairment: Eversource Energy carries $4.23 billion in goodwill on its consolidated balance sheet as of December 31, 2025. A determination that this goodwill is impaired would result in a non-cash charge affecting total capitalization.
3. Regulatory/Legal Risks
- FERC Transmission Policy: The FERC has jurisdiction over transmission cost recovery and allowed returns on equity (ROEROEReturn on Equity — net income as a percentage of shareholder equity; how efficiently a company uses the capital investors have put in). Changes in methodology or the elimination of transmission incentives could negatively impact financial results. Additionally, four pending complaints against transmission-owning companies within ISO-NE allege that current ROEs are unjust and unreasonable.
- Competitive Solicitation Processes: New frameworks like ISO-NE’s Longer-Term Transmission Planning (LTTP) introduce uncertainty regarding project timing and cost recovery, potentially forcing Eversource Energy to compete against non-incumbent developers.
- State-Level Regulatory Composition: Eversource Energy specifically monitors the evolving regulatory environment in Connecticut, including changes in the composition of the Public Utilities Regulatory Authority (PURA), which may affect its electric, natural gas, and water businesses.
4. Financial Impact Map
Cybersecurity Events → Operating Expenses → Significant costs to investigate, repair, and address litigation or fines. Rate Regulation/Disallowances → Results of Operations → Reductions in allowed rate of return or denial of cost recovery. Offshore Wind Contingent Liability → Financial Position → Potential for additional losses if construction costs exceed projections or tax credits are not realized. Climate Change/Storm Restoration → Cash Flows → Inability to recover restoration costs from customers if deemed imprudent by regulators. Goodwill Impairment → Total Capitalization → Non-cash charge resulting from a reduction in the carrying value of goodwill.
Recent Filings
| Form | Filed | Period |
|---|---|---|
| 10-K | Feb 2026 | Dec 2025 |
| 8-K | Feb 2026 | — |
| 14A | Mar 2025 | — |
AI-extracted key facts from press releases and SEC filings. Significance 1–10.
BofA cuts Eversource (ES) price target to $73 from $82 on ROE drag
- ▸BofA lowers price target to $73 from $82, maintains Buy rating
- ▸FY26-28 EPS estimates revised lower due to 100 bps base ROE drag
- ▸New England Transmission base ROE reset to 9.57% per Opinion No. 594
- ▸FY26 EPS guidance range set at $4.80–$4.95
- ▸Long-term EPS growth target maintained at 5% to 7% through 2028
Eversource Energy Faces Governance Pushback and Ariel Investments Exit Amid Operational Concerns
- ▸Ariel Investments exited position citing operational headwinds and weakening indicators
- ▸Management urging shareholders to vote against separating Chairman and CEO roles
- ▸Reaffirmed 2026 EPS guidance of $4.80–$4.95
- ▸Projected 2028 revenue of $14.8B and earnings of $2.1B
- ▸Current capital plan faces regulatory friction and rising interest cost risks
Eversource Price Target Cut to $73 at BofA on FERC ROE Compression
- ▸FERC Opinion No. 594 resets New England base ROE to 9.57%
- ▸BofA cuts price target to $73 from $82, maintains Buy rating
- ▸FY26-28 EPS estimates revised downward due to 100 bps ROE drag
- ▸Five-year capital plan totals $26.5B through 2030
- ▸Quarterly dividend increased to $0.7875 per share for 2026
Eversource Energy price target cut to $75 by BMO following FERC ROE ruling
- ▸BMO Capital lowered price target to $75 from $79
- ▸FERC set new base ROE for New England Transmission Owners at 9.57%
- ▸2026 EPS guidance range $4.80–$4.95
- ▸Five-year EPS growth target 5% to 7% through 2028
- ▸$26.5 billion capital investment plan announced for distribution and transmission