MAS
IndustrialsMasco
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Market Data
Financials
XBRL · SEC EDGAR2012–2025(14yr)| Metric | FY 2012 | FY 2013 | FY 2014 | FY 2015 | FY 2016 | FY 2017 | FY 2018 | FY 2019 | FY 2020 | FY 2021 | FY 2022 | FY 2023 | FY 2024 | FY 2025Latest | YoY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $7.7B | $8.2B | $8.5B | $7.1B | $7.4B | $7.6B | $8.4B | $6.7B | $7.2B | $8.4B | $8.7B | $8.0B | $7.8B | $7.6B | -3.4% |
| Gross Profit | $2.0B | $2.3B | $2.4B | $2.3B | $2.5B | $2.6B | $2.7B | $2.4B | $2.6B | $2.9B | $2.7B | $2.8B | $2.8B | $2.7B | -5.4% |
| Gross Margin | 25.2% | 27.6% | 28.0% | 31.5% | 33.4% | 34.2% | 32.2% | 35.4% | 36.0% | 34.2% | 31.3% | 35.6% | 36.2% | 35.4% | -0.7pp |
| Operating Income | $271.0M | $673.0M | $788.0M | $914.0M | $1.1B | $1.2B | $1.2B | $1.1B | $1.3B | $1.4B | $1.3B | $1.3B | $1.4B | $1.2B | -8.4% |
| Operating Margin | 3.5% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 12.8% | 14.3% | 15.3% | 14.5% | 16.2% | 18.0% | 16.8% | 14.9% | 16.9% | 17.4% | 16.5% | -0.9pp |
| Net Income | -$114.0M | $272.0M | $856.0M | $355.0M | $491.0M | $533.0M | $734.0M | $935.0M | $1.2B | $410.0M | $844.0M | $908.0M | $822.0M | $810.0M | -1.5% |
| Net Margin | -1.5% | 3.3% | 10.0% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 13.9% | 17.0% | 4.9% | 9.7% | 11.4% | 10.5% | 10.7% | +0.2pp |
| Free Cash Flow | $162.0M | $519.0M | $474.0M | $541.0M | $546.0M | $578.0M | $813.0M | $671.0M | $839.0M | $802.0M | $616.0M | $1.2B | $907.0M | $866.0M | -4.5% |
| FCF Margin | 2.1% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 11.7% | 9.6% | 7.1% | 14.7% | 11.6% | 11.5% | -0.1pp |
| EPS (Diluted) | $-0.33 | $0.76 | $2.38 | $1.02 | $1.47 | $1.66 | $2.37 | $3.22 | $4.59 | $1.62 | $3.63 | $4.02 | $3.76 | $3.86 | +2.7% |
1. THE BIG PICTURE
Masco is a story of high-quality brands operating in a low-growth environment. While Masco holds dominant positions in paint and plumbing through Behr and Delta, it is currently struggling to find organic growth, with revenues declining as it navigates a cooling remodeling market. Success now depends on whether management can use aggressive restructuring and share buybacks to manufacture earnings growth while waiting for the housing cycle to turn.
2. WHERE THE RISKS HIT HARDEST
Masco’s "powerful brands" are its greatest strength, yet this competitive advantage is structurally threatened by extreme customer concentration. Because The Home Depot accounts for $2.9 billion, or 38 percent, of consolidated net sales, Masco’s brand leverage is effectively capped by the bargaining power of a single retailer (10-K Item 1). Furthermore, Masco’s push into "connected water products" and high-end plumbing is directly threatened by rising input costs for brass, copper, and zinc. These costs are exacerbated by international duties and tariffs, which create a margin squeeze that Masco may be unable to offset through price increases alone (10-K Item 1).
3. WHAT THE NUMBERS SAY TOGETHER
The financial data reveals a business in transition, where aggressive capital allocation is being used to mask a top-line slowdown. While Masco leads its peer group in buyback yield at 4.2 percent, it ranks last in revenue growth at -3.4 percent (XBRL). This divergence suggests that management is prioritizing share retirement to support EPSEPSEarnings Per Share — the company's net profit divided by its share count; the most common per-share profitability metric as organic demand softens. The fourth quarter of 2025 highlighted a widening gap between segments: Plumbing grew 5 percent, but Decorative Architectural Products—which includes the Behr paint brand—collapsed by 15 percent (8-K).
This sharp decline in the decorative segment accounts for the divergence between Masco’s long-term brand narrative and its current shrinking revenue. With short interest sitting at 4.8 percent of the float, a segment of the market remains skeptical that Masco can quickly reverse these volume declines (Yahoo Finance).
4. IS IT WORTH IT AT THIS PRICE?
At 13.8x Forward P/EP/EPrice-to-Earnings ratio — share price divided by annual earnings per share; how much investors pay per dollar of profit. Higher P/E = higher growth expectations, Masco trades at a 29 percent discount to the peer median of 19.3x (XBRL). This discount is a direct reflection of Masco’s position as the slowest-growing company in its peer group. The market is currently pricing in approximately 4.1 percent long-term growth (CAPM analysis).
Whether this price is "right" depends entirely on Masco’s ability to execute its restructuring plan. Masco is currently guiding for "roughly flat" sales in 2026, which falls short of the market’s implied growth requirement (8-K). If growth were to slow further to a GDP-pace of 2.5 percent, the justified multiple would drop to 11.3x, suggesting significant downside if the remodeling market does not recover (CAPM analysis). The stock appears attractively valued only if one believes the $50 million restructuring program will successfully pivot Masco back to margin expansion despite flat sales.
5. WHAT WOULD CHANGE THIS VIEW?
- Cautious if Decorative Architectural Products sales do not stabilize in the first half of 2026, or if net leverage (currently 2.7x) increases significantly to fund continued buybacks.
- Constructive if the Plumbing segment’s 5 percent growth accelerates or if Masco reports a significant reduction in raw material costs for resins and titanium dioxide.
6. BOTTOM LINE
Structural Advantage: Massive brand equity in category-leading names like Behr and Delta, supported by a dominant distribution partnership with the world’s largest home improvement retailer.
Bottom Line: Masco is an attractively valued cash cow for patient investors, but it will remain a laggard until it can prove that its restructuring can overcome a stagnant housing market.
1. Top 5 Material Risks
- Customer Concentration: Masco relies heavily on The Home Depot, which accounted for $2.9 billion, or approximately 38 percent, of consolidated net sales in 2025. The loss of this customer or a significant reduction in their purchase volume would have a material adverse impact on Masco.
- Economic Sensitivity: Masco’s performance is tied to residential repair, remodeling, and new home construction. Economic contractions or recessions can lead to declines in these activities, negatively impacting Masco’s results of operations.
- Supply Chain and Cost Volatility: Masco faces risks from the cost and availability of raw materials like brass, copper, resins, titanium dioxide, and zinc. Increased duties and tariffs, particularly in the Plumbing Products segment, have driven higher costs that Masco may be unable to pass on to customers.
- International Operations: With 21 percent of 2025 sales generated outside North America, Masco is exposed to foreign currency fluctuations (specifically the euro, Chinese renminbi, Canadian dollar, British pound sterling, and Mexican peso) and risks related to international trade policies and regulations.
- Strategic Execution: Masco’s growth strategy depends on successful acquisitions and the integration of new businesses. Failure to realize anticipated synergies, economies of scale, or the diversion of management resources could adversely impact financial results.
2. Company-Specific Risks
- Exclusivity Arrangements: Masco’s Behr business grants The Home Depot brand exclusivity in the North American retail channel and for Kilz branded primers in specific retail segments, which limits Masco’s ability to sell these products to other customers and increases operational complexity.
- Private Label Competition: Masco faces direct competition from low-cost foreign manufacturers that sell products under private label brands through Masco’s own retail customers, potentially forcing a shift toward lower-margin, value-priced products.
- E-commerce Channel Conflict: The growth of e-commerce creates pricing transparency and potential channel conflict between Masco’s existing distribution methods and new digital sales strategies.
- Architectural Coatings Resource Dependency: Water is a critical component for Masco’s architectural coatings products and is subject to supply shortages and restrictions in certain regions due to climate-related influences.
3. Regulatory/Legal Risks
- Product Liability and Safety: Masco is subject to product safety regulations and potential recalls. Because Masco relies on third-party suppliers for finished goods, it faces risks regarding the quality of sourced components and limited legal recourse against those suppliers.
- Compliance Costs: Masco must comply with a broad range of international and domestic laws, including anti-bribery, data privacy, environmental, and trade regulations. Changes in tax laws regarding cross-border transactions could also impact Masco’s financial position.
- Intellectual Property Litigation: Masco faces the risk of third-party infringement claims and the challenge of protecting its patents and trademarks globally, particularly in jurisdictions where property rights are not highly developed.
4. Financial Impact Map
Customer Concentration → Consolidated Net Sales → $2.9 billion of revenue is tied to a single customer (The Home Depot).
Economic Cycles → Results of Operations → Declines in residential repair and remodeling activity directly reduce demand for Masco products.
Duties and Tariffs → Plumbing Products Segment Margin → Increased costs from international jurisdictions (specifically China) pressure profitability.
Currency Exchange Rates → Operating Performance → Fluctuations in the euro, renminbi, Canadian dollar, British pound, and Mexican peso create volatility in period-to-period comparisons.
Credit Agreement Covenants → Financial Flexibility → Significant earnings declines could trigger defaults on financial covenants, restricting Masco’s ability to borrow.
Recent Filings
| Form | Filed | Period |
|---|---|---|
| 8-K | Feb 2026 | — |
| 10-K | Feb 2026 | Dec 2025 |
| 10-Q | Oct 2025 | Sep 2025 |
| 14A | Apr 2025 | — |
AI-extracted key facts from press releases and SEC filings. Significance 1–10.
Masco Q4 Revenue $1.79B misses estimates, EPS $0.82 beats, $2B buyback announced
- ▸Q4 revenue $1.79B, missed analyst estimates
- ▸Q4 net income declined to $165M
- ▸Decorative Architectural segment sales fell 15%
- ▸FY26 adjusted EPS guidance set at $4.10–$4.30
- ▸Authorized new $2B share repurchase program
Masco Q4 EPS $0.82 beats estimates, net sales $1.79B miss expectations
- ▸Q4 adjusted EPS $0.82, beating consensus estimate of $0.78
- ▸Q4 net sales $1.79B, missing consensus estimate of $1.83B
- ▸Total net sales declined 2% year-over-year
- ▸Plumbing Products segment sales rose 5% to $1.25B
- ▸Decorative Architectural Products sales fell 15% to $545M